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Are Canada’s Crime Rates Surpassing U.S.A.’s?
December 4, 2024

I don’t buy it.

A recent Fraser Institute report claims that homicide rates aside, Canada’s crime rates in a number of categories have spiraled ahead of those in the U.S.


They claim:

Since 2014, property crimes (theft, fraud, breaking and entering for example) have increased in Canada, and by 2022 was 27.5% higher than in the U.S.


That should concern all Canadians in my view, but I’d like to put the Fraser statement into context.

American writer Evan Esar once said that the definition of statistics is: “The science of producing unreliable facts from reliable figures.” Certainly, in some cases, we should question the veracity of the stats.


The Fraser Institute is a highly regarded and ethical organization, so I do not doubt their reporting whatsoever. I do question whether the U.S. data used in this instance is accurate or complete.


Canada’s crime statistics are tracked and reported on by the federal government. What is known as Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) data is supplied by Canadian police agencies at all levels, as part of a mandatory process. It provides data for analysis, resource allocation, planning and comparison purposes, as well as for government decision-making as to policy and legislative considerations. As it is police generated, it only contains data regarding crimes that the police are aware of – either through citizen reporting or officer awareness.


Although the U.S. program has the same name and intent, it is a voluntary program. There are more than 18,000 police departments in the U.S.A. (versus 160 in Canada). Many of those departments have but a handful of officers and some even less. I am told by U.S. colleagues that an alarming percentage of the smaller departments still use paper reports/records and are not completely computerized. Not all police services supply stats to the U.S. UCR database and in fact it is reported that only 40% reported anything in 2021. Additionally, some reports say that not all police departments submit ALL their data, but only some of it.


The Fraser Institute acknowledges that the stats between countries aren’t necessarily apples to apples, saying that: “There are also issues with the comparability of crime rate data between the two countries due to the differing definitions of crimes and crime classifications (the study has sought to adjust for these differences).”


Regardless of the validity of the numbers, it is concerning that Canada’s crime rates are increasing at all. Why is it happening?


Undoubtedly, socio-economic factors are behind many causation factors, most or all of which cannot be controlled or solved by police services. They simply result in a response by police when they occur.

Mental health, addiction and poverty are significant issues in Canada. If they weren’t, policing would be a cakewalk and cost so much less.


In our ‘Post Covid’ world, Canada is seeing a huge increase in youth crime – including violence. Many young people spent their early teen years and since, having little face to face contact with peers (and adults other than their parents), but instead engaged in social media interaction. The mental health impacts of that period show increased levels of anxiety, and the emotional and behavioural impacts are far from being totally understood.


Some say, and I agree, that there is a diminished fear of consequences in society. Day after day we learn of criminals being apprehended, charged, released, re-arrested and so on. Our bail, sentencing and parole systems do little to stem the concerning catch and release cycle in which many assume to be the new norm. What message is the justice system sending to would be criminals? I realize we can’t keep everyone locked up for every offence, but recidivism shouldn’t be allowed to flourish.


What is the state of parenting out there? Whatever happened to the right from wrong and firm but fair parenting that baby-boomers like me experienced? Fear of dad and/or mom was an equal concern than the fear of the police for me as a youngster and teen. You don’t have to watch the media much now to see videos of mothers and fathers attacking police for ‘picking on’ their kids, who of course are always a “good boy”, despite committing egregious offences.


Organized Crime groups have had a growing impact on local crime in recent years. They recruit young people to commit the front-end crimes like stealing automobiles from our driveways, or committing brazen group thefts from retail stores, knowing they won’t be harshly punished if caught. And we’ve all seen the growth industries of auto and retail theft.


Sadly, there are not enough police officers in some communities to prevent, respond to or investigate the many crimes they face. A triage of sorts results in a slower response and less investigative follow-up for many thefts and other property crimes. Comparatively, I remember spending many hours investigating minor thefts as a young officer up north. But we didn’t have as many competing response priorities. Car thefts were rare; we didn’t have street gangs, car-jackings, home invasions, or many mental health issues to deal with; we had little violent crime, and seldom saw a firearm that wasn’t a hunting rifle. That was then, but the new reality brings a zillion emerging challenges.


But we must remain confident that our police services continue do their very best while working with partner agencies of all sorts to prevent and investigate the heck out of all crimes. In the meantime, we need to support them and advocate for them for funding and staffing, and although we must ensure their accountability, we should NOT vilify them for every honest mistake or for not being all things to all people 24/7.


They cannot do it alone.

By Chris Lewis January 4, 2025
Police know how to conduct major investigations and find bad guys. Although several specific factors change from case to case, their general investigative playbook remains the same. Once some ungodly multi-victim attack occurs, in very simplistic terms: the scene is protected, and the health of the living victims is looked after. Forensic experts begin processing the crime scene. Witnesses are located and interviewed. Physical evidence is gathered. Area and witness video recordings are collected and analyzed. Victims are identified. An off-site reunification centre is established where there are multiple victims. Next of kin notifications begin. At any point – if a suspect or suspects become known, their background is gathered, and the hunt begins. They need to be apprehended before anyone else is hurt. Area law enforcement officers need to know suspect details ASAP. “Motive” is at top of mind as investigators are synthesizing all this information, whether the suspect is identified or not. Of course, establishing motive often leads to identifying the suspect, but at other times identifying the suspect helps fill in the blanks on motive. What was the initial basis of what became a murder? Was it a robbery? Could it have been a street fight gone bad? Was it simply a want or need to kill someone specific or maybe anyone at all? That’s for investigators to sort out. There is an onus to warn the public or at least tell them something, i.e. “ongoing threat”, “stay indoors”, or “no threat to public safety”. There are reporting protocols to follow. Senior officers need to be advised up the food chain as do their political masters, so everyone knows what is happening. None of that should detract investigators from doing what they do best – catching killers. But that’s when the ravenous “thirst for knowledge” and political grandstanding often take over and completely interfere with police work. The only knowledge the investigators are thirsty for in those early hours is evidence and then identifying, locating and capturing bad people. They do not need politics monopolizing their time or efforts. The New Years Day massacre in New Orleans was big. Fourteen innocent party goers were killed and dozens injured. The world wanted to know what happened and the community wanted to know if they were in danger. I absolutely get that. However, what sometimes comes with such tragedies is everyone wanting to know everything. We see it in most mass murder cases, but this was an exceptional example of the insanity surrounding such a high-profile incident. Whatever blanks weren’t immediately filled in by police officials and verified mainstream media reports, were filled in by social media. In such cases police totally lose control of the narrative as rumours, theories, falsities, conspiracy theories and “hey look at me” games take over. The political party and individual positioning in this case was nauseating. In any multi-agency response, having the leaders of those agencies at press conferences in a united front makes sense. The public needs to have confidence that the situation is in the best of hands. But where did these massive press conferences where police officials are flanked by numerous politicians come from? I can see some elected leaders being present when a new program is launched or government funding is being announced, but it should never be in the early hours of a mass murder. Having a bunch of partisan wonks peacocking on stage and in follow-up interviews, helps no one at the operational level. As some of them were speaking, I was responding to their dumb questions in my mind: Was it a terror attack? Maybe, but let the experts figure that out. In the meantime, it’s a mass murder. Was the killer an illegal immigrant? Let’s worry about that when the dust settles. What political party is to blame for allowing him into the country? We don’t care. Maybe he was born here. Let’s sort that out if he turns out to be an illegal immigrant. Why wasn’t the area more secure? Good question for a future debrief. We need to get the FBI and HSI leaders before a government committee right away so we can find out who failed! Shut up. We have police work to do. There are always enough social media theories, private citizens’ investigations into suspects, outright lies and misinformation being spread to the public, without silly partisan games sidetracking investigators who are fighting to stay ahead of legitimate theories and tips. In the early hours of a mass murder case investigators are probably the busiest they have ever been, and don’t need any of this interference. Controlling the social media fever is next to impossible. It would take a sudden level of maturity across the populace that may be unattainable. But politicians at all levels need to get the message that they are not welcome on stage at operational press conferences and their comments to the media – if asked for them – aside from expressing sadness, thoughts, prayers and confidence in the police, should be “Our law enforcement agencies are investigating, and we need to let them do what they do.” Adding any theories, raising questions or passing blame is totally wrong. If elected officials truly care about their electorate and feel the need to say more, they should have some prior dialogue with the police leaders or their Public Information Officers to ensure that what they say is helpful as opposed to harmful. Otherwise, be quiet.
By Chris Lewis December 28, 2024
Violent Crime Remains High
By Chris Lewis December 20, 2024
$1.3 billion is a lot of money, but it’s nothing more than a good start.
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